Belmont Stakes 2009 Date: Why Charitable Man Will Take It
Andre Sanchez - June 5th, 2009 .Its no surprise at all you that if you listen to some of the sharpest handicappers this weekend, the 2009 Belmont Stakes date will be a one-horse race. A growing legion of experts predict Charitable Man rout. I’m one of those think that Mine that bird wont be able to match the rising horse this Saturday.
The media is no doubt jumping on the bandwagon.
Charitable Man, who will be ridden by jockey Alan Garcia, looked like a pretty good prospect for the Kentucky Derby when he romped to an 11 1/2 -length victory in his first race and then won the Futurity at Belmont in mid-September 2008. But a shin injury that required surgery dashed those hopes, meaning he couldn’t compete in any of the Derby prep races.
“It was frustrating because he’s so talented,” McLaughlin said.
The horse still had enough graded stakes earnings to qualify for the Derby, but McLaughlin and owner William Warren decided to hold Charitable Man out of the race when he didn’t run well in the Blue Grass Stakes in April, finishing seventh. When Mine That Bird came out of nowhere to win the Derby, McLaughlin acknowledged he was kicking himself for not taking his shot with Charitable Man. He said he won’t make that mistake again.
Certainly there many credible threats around for Charitable Man. However as the value propositions its hard to go past him.
Belmont Stakes 2009
The field
Post, Horse Jockey Odds
1. Chocolate Candy Gomez 10-1
2. Dunkirk Velazquez 4-1
3. Mr. Hot Stuff Prado 15-1
4. Summer Bird Desormeaux 12-1
5. Luv Gov Mena 20-1
6. Charitable Man Garcia 3-1
7. Mine That Bird Borel 2-1
8. Flying Private Leparoux 12-1
9. Miner’s Escape Lezcano 15-1
10. Brave Victory Maragh 15-1
Betting Lessons
So you want to bet on the 2009 Belmont Stakes? Here’s some free advice – don’t. Now that might seem a strange statement on a website such as this, but the single most important piece of advice any professional gambler can offer anyone in their expert field is “don’t swim with the sharks”.
Of course not many let those words pass their lips. The livelihood of any professional gambler is significantly dependent on less-skilled people playing in the same swimming pool. Be very clear that sports betting, like poker, is skill-based gambling with an element of luck, not the other way around.
So why do I offer these sage words of wisdom before the 2009 Belmont Stakes? Quite apart from the fact I’m a really nice person, I know that human nature will dictate that for every ten people who will read the opening paragraph and vow never to bet on a sporting event again, there will be at least a hundred who will quite happily ignore me. That’s fine, no-one likes been told what to do and if I am really honest your ignorance is my bliss. But if you are going to be one of those hundred, you might like to keep reading.
Sports betting is no different to any other walk of life where highly skilled people operate. They may work for a bookmaker, setting prices for their paymasters contributing to their profit. Or they may be on the other side, unwavering in their quest to make money off whomever they can cross swords with. The point is there are people who make a living from sports betting who spend a large portion of their waking hours staying ahead of the pack. If you’re not one of them, what are you doing standing up there on the diving board?
This brings me to perhaps the second most-important piece of advice I can give you – be very clear on the reasons why you bet and your expectations from doing so. I mean, if you’re a recreational tennis player and you play a set against Roger Federer – do you have any hope of winning? You might win a point here and there, but at the end of the day, will you win or lose?
So why do you bet? If purely for fun, to add a bit of extra enjoyment when you watch a sporting event from the stands or on TV, good for you. Despite what do-gooders say, there is nothing wrong with recreational gambling, so long as you do not spend more than you can afford to lose. If you are a seasoned pro, what the hell are you doing reading this – you’re learning nothing new.
It’s the people in the middle who need to stop and think for more than a moment – those that think they can make money from the game without perhaps realizing the work required to maximize their chances of doing so. So to the people surfing the internet trying to pick up tips on how to be successful at sports betting, sit down and really ask yourself are you prepared to put in the required graft to be successful? If so, welcome to the club. But if you have any doubts, do it for fun – and don’t get stuck in the middle.
Good luck betting one of the most exciting spectacles events this year. Join Bodog to take part in the racing excitement.
