<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:wfw="http://wellformedweb.org/CommentAPI/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
	xmlns:slash="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/slash/"
	>

<channel>
	<title>Free Betting Tips and Betting Advice</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.betwwx.com/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.betwwx.com</link>
	<description>BetWWX is a sports betting blog featuring daily free betting tips and picks for the EPL, La Liga, Seria A, NBA, NFL, UFC and others.</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Sat, 19 Sep 2009 16:32:23 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<generator>http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.5</generator>
	<language>en</language>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
			<item>
		<title>Live UFC 103 stream and play by play</title>
		<link>http://www.betwwx.com/728/live-ufc-103-stream-and-play-by-play/</link>
		<comments>http://www.betwwx.com/728/live-ufc-103-stream-and-play-by-play/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 19 Sep 2009 16:32:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Andre Sanchez</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Free Picks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Handicapping]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MMA Betting]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.betwwx.com/?p=728</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Guys our friends at Bigoddsmike will be your home for UFC 103. They&#8217;ve got everything you need to watch UFC 103 live. Also keep up to date with the latest betting odds for the event, by vising the link above. Or else you can click on our &#8220;UFC odds&#8221; page on the top right.
Sign up [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Guys our friends at Bigoddsmike will be your home for UFC 103. They&#8217;ve got everything you need to <a href="http://www.bigoddsmike.com/">watch UFC 103</a> live. Also keep up to date with the latest betting odds for the event, by vising the link above. Or else you can click on our &#8220;UFC odds&#8221; page on the top right.</p>
<p><em>Sign up to our newsletter, see sample below. </em></p>
<p>Below are some of the prop bets available on<span id="more-728"></span> the Superbowl.  My approach to these wagers is to look for plays that are statistically based and are not dependent on the outcome of the game.  For example, if you were to play a prop bet on Shaun Alexander to rush for 200+ yards you’re obviously taking a position based on a Seattle win.  Conversely, if you were to bet that Alexander wouldn’t make 100 yards it would be predicated on a strong Pittsburgh performance.  We look for opportunities that are derived from “typical” performances, either based on the regular season stats or on what has happened in an “average” NFL game or Superbowl.</p>
<p>WILL THERE BE A SAFETY SCORED?</p>
<p>There’s a lot of “will there/won’t there” type props and typically the negative position is the value play.  The “public” player isn’t thinking in terms of value and would rather bet on events happening rather than “not” happening.  Furthermore, they’re frequently attracted to the perceived high payout on betting the affirmative on unusual or infrequent events.  Usually the YES side of these propositions doesn’t reflect the actual odds of the event occurring.  By contrast, the NO side will often present a good wagering value based on the true statistical probability of the events occurrence.</p>
<p>The “Will there be a safety scored?” prop is a good example of this.  The public would rather bet the “YES” at a payoff in the 8/1 range.  During the 2005 season, NFL teams played 240 games and scored a total of 11 safeties.   In other words, one safety was scored every 21.8 games.  There have been 5 safeties scored in Superbowl history, the last by Bruce Smith in Superbowl XXV.  You could make an argument that safeties are more likely in the Superbowl since teams are more likely to take risks and “go for broke”.  Still, my statistical sources maintain that the odds of a safety occurring in any individual game are right around 20 to 1 against.</p>
<p>It’s always tough to lay a lot to win a little, but strictly from a statistical standpoint betting the NO on the “Will there be a safety scored” prop is one of the best values on the board.  For what its worth, neither Seattle or Pittsburgh scored a safety during the 2005 season.</p>
<p>BET “NO” -1000 on “Will there be a safety scored?” (BetGameday)</p>
<p>WILL THERE BE OVERTIME?</p>
<p>This is another prop where you have to bet a lot to win a little, but the value is on the negative.  So is history, since there’s never been a Superbowl decided in OT.  With the short pointspread on this game and the tendency toward close games in recent years, you could make the case that an OT here is more likely than in any recent Superbowl.  Nevertheless, that’s a tough thing to try and handicap.  We’ll go with the numbers and take the negative.</p>
<p>BET “NO” -1000 on “Will there be overtime?” (BetGameday)</p>
<p>Five Dimes offers a combination of these two wagers:</p>
<p>BET NO SAFETY AND NO OT -528 (5 Dimes)</p>
<p>FIRST PLAY FROM LINE OF SCRIMMAGE:</p>
<p>In 5 combined playoff games, Pittsburgh and Seattle has started with a pass in four of them.  The Seahawks “script” their first 15 offensive plays, making repetition of this more likely.  Value is on the “pass play or sack” position at +120.</p>
<p>BET FIRST PLAY FROM SCRIMMAGE PASS PLAY OR SACK +120 (BetGameday)</p>
<p>TOTAL PUNTS FOR TOUCHBACK</p>
<p>Pittsburgh and Seattle have each averaged 1 punt for touchback in each of their playoff games.  That makes for a projected total of 2 here, making the OVER 1’ the play and a good value at that.</p>
<p>BET OVER 1’ PUNTS FOR TOUCHBACK +230 (Bet Gameday)</p>
<p>FIRST TURNOVER A FUMBLE OR INTERCEPTION:</p>
<p>8 of 16 turnovers for and against for these two teams in the playoffs were fumbles, as were 43% in the regular season.  At +149, theoretical breakeven is right around 39% so this is a slight value.  If you can find a better price its obviously a better value, but we’ll take a shot given the run orientation of both offenses.</p>
<p>BET FIRST TURNOVER A FUMBLE +149 (5 Dimes)</p>
<p>SHAUN ALEXANDER TOTAL PASS RECEPTIONS:</p>
<p>Alexander caught a pass in 10 of 18 total games this season, including 1 of 2 playoff games.  That means he failed to catch a pass in 40% of his games this year.  The correct payout for a 40% proposition is +150, so the +240 we’re getting is a killer overlay.</p>
<p>SHAUN ALEXANDER UNDER ½ PASS RECEPTIONS +240 (Olympic)</p>
<p>DARRELL JACKSON PASS RECEPTIONS:</p>
<p>Jackson is somewhat undervalued due to the fact that he was injured for most of the year and only played in 8 total games.</p>
<p>D. JACKSON PASS RECEPTIONS OVER/UNDER 6</p>
<p>Jackson only failed to catch 6 passes once in his eight games played (vs. Tennessee on 12/18).</p>
<p>BET D. JACKSON OVER 6 RECEPTIONS +120 (Carib)</p>
<p>Jackson also scored a TD in 5 of his 8 games played</p>
<p>BET D. JACKSON TO SCORE A TD +160 (Carib)</p>
<p>JEROME BETTIS FIRST RUSHING ATTEMPT OV/UN 2’ YARDS</p>
<p>“The Bus” is a notoriously slow starter, so we’ll go with the UNDER.  This prop would have won in 7 of his L10 games.</p>
<p>BET J. BETTIS FIRST RUSHING ATTEMPT UNDER 2’ YARDS (Olympic)</p>
<p>1st HALF RECEIVING YARDS  D. JACKSON vs. H. WARD</p>
<p>This prop is under the “First Half Fireworks” entry at Olympic.  Jackson averaging right around 90 yards per game, Ward around 60.</p>
<p>BET D. JACKSON -1/2 YARD -120 over H. WARD (Olympic)</p>
<p>MAURICE MORRIS O/U 10’ RUSHING YARDS</p>
<p>In the L7 games, Morris has had at least 7 carries for over 20 yards in six of them.</p>
<p>BET M. MORRIS OVER 10’ RUSHING YARDS +105 (Olympic)</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.betwwx.com/728/live-ufc-103-stream-and-play-by-play/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>UFC 102 predictions and picks</title>
		<link>http://www.betwwx.com/717/ufc-102-predictions-and-picks/</link>
		<comments>http://www.betwwx.com/717/ufc-102-predictions-and-picks/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 15 Aug 2009 19:28:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Robert K</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Free Picks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Handicapping]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MMA Betting]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.betwwx.com/?p=717</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[UFC 102: Couture vs. Nogueira takes place on August 29, 2009 at the Rose Garden in Portland, Oregon and will feature former UFC Heavyweight champion, Randy &#8220;The Natural&#8221; Couture, taking on fellow legend Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira. Both are coming of devastating losses, only a win will do if these man plan to stay in the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>UFC 102: Couture vs. Nogueira takes place on August 29, 2009 at the Rose Garden in Portland, Oregon and will feature former UFC Heavyweight champion, Randy &#8220;The Natural&#8221; Couture, taking on fellow legend Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira. Both are coming of devastating losses, only a win will do if these man plan to stay in the title picture.</p>
<p>The co feature two is an entrancing battle between Keith “The Dean of Mean” Jardine (14-6-1) and Thiago Silva (13-1). Once again two fighters coming off losses in desperate need for victory. Expect both to swing for the fences this Saturday.<span id="more-717"></span> To access our UFC 102 picks simply sign up to our email newsletter.</p>
<h6>Guys, i&#8217;m giving you the chance to sign up to our newsletter for free. Thats right, you&#8217;ll receive free predictions by &#8220;Robert K&#8221; one of the worlds greatest fight handicappers for an entire month. Simply email<span style="color: #ff0000;"> eo5544@gmail.com</span> with the subject &#8220;PICKS&#8221; to sign up right now. Below is a sample of our work.</h6>
<p style="text-align: center;">***</p>
<p style="background-color: #ebebeb">It has come to this—there is a very well known and respected offshore bookmaker taking action on professional wrestling.  The British bookmaking firm Bet365.com took action on the WWF’s United Kingdom PPV in October, and is now offering futures odds on the 1/20/01 “Royal Rumble” pay-per-view.  While some may view betting on pro wrestling as a sign of the apocalypse, I personally don’t have an issue with it.  Now I know it’s not what purists consider a “real” sport—there’s that little business about the outcomes being predetermined—but so what?  The outcomes of other events are predetermined—the Academy Awards and the Survivor TV show come to mind—and that hasn’t stopped bookmakers from taking action on them.  So why not pro wrestling?  Before a wrestling event there’s significantly fewer people who “know” the outcome than in the previous examples.  Vince McMahon calls the shots, and he’s notorious for coming up with the unexpected (good or bad) so there’s always the possibility of an upset.  It’s certainly less of a foregone conclusion than a lot of the Ferrari dominated Formula 1 races were this year.</p>
<p style="background-color: #ebebeb">I’m most excited about the opportunity to bet on WWF events, however, because I’m a legitimate authority on professional wrestling.  I’ve been following the pseudo-sport since the days of Jack Brisco, Dory Funk, Jr. and Harley Race and I can actually say that I understand its somewhat convoluted logic.  This knowledge, along with the application of fundamental handicapping principles, makes me very optimistic that I’ll be able to bet WWF wrestling as profitably as all of the other sports, entertainment events, etc. that I deal with.  So now that we know we can bet on let, let’s discuss the event and get to work handicapping it for fun and profit!</p>
<p>THE ROYAL RUMBLE—A HISTORY:</p>
<p style="background-color: #ebebeb">The first Royal Rumble was held in 1988, and since the early 1990’s has become one of the WWF’s biggest and most significant annual PPV events.  The first Royal Rumble was shown on the USA Network—sort of a “beta test” to see how it would go over.  The concept proved very attractive to both the promotion and the audience, and so in 1989 it moved to PPV.  Since 1993, the winner of the Royal Rumble has “officially” gone on to wrestle the current WWF champion for the title at Wrestlemania, the biggest PPV event of the year.  Since the outcome of the event has such broad ramifications not only for wrestling fans, but for the bottom line of the WWF, the winner is chosen very carefully so as to provide the best possible matchup to headline the Wrestlemania PPV.  This fact is going to be crucial in handicapping the event since it’s pretty clear who Vince McMahon and the WWF has no interest in seeing headline their most important show of the year.</p>
<p style="background-color: #ebebeb">Since the first “beta test” Royal Rumble (won by journeyman Hacksaw Jim Duggan), the  event has been won by ten different men(including a tie with two winners in 1994).  With the exception of Duggan’s victory in 1988, all of the winners have been among the top stars of the organization—clearly with the intention of setting the table for the best possible matchup at Wrestlemania.</p>
<h6>***Email us right now. When you sign up to our exlusive newsletter you&#8217;ll receive our complete UFC 102 predictions the same day. Follow UFC 102 live at the <a href="http://www.thesavagescience.com/">Savage Science</a>. ***</h6>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.betwwx.com/717/ufc-102-predictions-and-picks/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>UFC 100 picks and predictions</title>
		<link>http://www.betwwx.com/681/ufc-100-picks-and-predictions/</link>
		<comments>http://www.betwwx.com/681/ufc-100-picks-and-predictions/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Jul 2009 16:17:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>J.D Driscoll</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Free Picks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Handicapping]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MMA Betting]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.betwwx.com/?p=681</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Our head UFC handicapper J.D Discoll gives you his expert predictions for one the biggest fight cards of 2009. Its UFC 100: Making History featuring three epic battles. Cash in with our his best bets below.
First head over to Bigoddsmike.com for the most up to date UFC 100 odds. I&#8217;m a regular contributor there so [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Our head UFC handicapper J.D Discoll gives you his expert predictions for one the biggest fight cards of 2009. Its UFC 100: Making History featuring three epic battles. Cash in with our his best bets below.</p>
<p>First head over to Bigoddsmike.com for the most up to date <a href="http://www.bigoddsmike.com/2009/07/ufc-100-odds-and-betting-lines.html">UFC 100 odds</a>. I&#8217;m a regular contributor there so make sure to show them some love. A quick reminder if you&#8217;re looking for the best place to bet on this weeks fight action sign up with the good people at Sportsbook. Now onto my UFC 100 predictions.<span id="more-681"></span></p>
<p><strong>UFC 100 Picks: Brock Lesnar vs. Frank Mir</strong></p>
<p>Its a classic tale of skill vs. strength, David vs. Goliath if you will. The odds makers have made up their mind, its Lesnar&#8217;s fight to loose if the guys over at Betus or 5Dimes are to be trusted. At hefty -220 he&#8217;ll be hard to beat but there little value at those odds. Go with Mir if you&#8217;re a betting man. Sure Lesnar has come a long since their last bout but in my opinion Mir is the one that transformed his game. For the first time in a long time, Mir is looking hungry again.</p>
<p><strong>Georges St-Pierre vs. Thiago Alves</strong></p>
<p>St-Pierre has looked flawless since his loss to Matt Serra in 2007. He has overcome all challengers and has quickly become one the UFC&#8217;s favourite sons. However he&#8217;ll face a dangerous Thiago Alves this Saturday. Its  a tough match-up the Canadian, however one he should be able to overcome. It&#8217;ll be a close fight but my money is on St-Pierre.</p>
<p><strong>Dan Henderson vs. Michael Bisping</strong></p>
<p>Michael Bisping takes on Dan Henderson in what will most likely be a title fight elimination bout. The former Pride champion is on a mission to avenge his 2008 loss to Anderson Silva. Henderson has the edge in most areas, his experience however will be the deciding factor. Bisping wont be a pushover however Henderson should outlast the TUF 2 winner in a three round war.</p>
<p><strong>Mark Coleman vs. Stephan Bonnar</strong></p>
<p>This is must win bout for both of these guys. Coleman looked sluggish against a underdone Shogun while Bonnar is coming off an upset loss  to Jon Jones. Despite his age and less than stellar recent performances I&#8217;m sticking with &#8220;The Hammer&#8221;.</p>
<p>Well the next huge event everyone&#8217;s talking about is Affliction Trilogy. I&#8217;ll have a full write-up for this speculator card in due time but its looking really solid so far. Maybe its just me but I think they&#8217;ll have a much hard time marketing Fedor vs. Barnett to US fans. Emelianenko vs. Arlovski &amp; Tim Sylvia sold themselves but the fight Barnett is one for the hardcore fans. Barnett represents a bigger challenge of course, like Fedor&#8217;s coach once said he is a thinking man fighter, a great tactician. I cant see Barnett being knocked out or submitted in the first or second. It will most likely turn into a five round war like Nogueira vs. Barnett 1 and 2 did.</p>
<p>Fedor&#8217;s name is well and truly skyrocketing but they&#8217;re running out of creditable opponents for him. Fedor vs. Overeem would make sense but I doubt it could take place in the US. A fight with Tito Ortiz would be huge but I don’t think the &#8220;Huntington Beach Bad Boy&#8221; is too keen to move to the heavyweight division at this stage of his career. Whatever the case may be it will be an uphill battle for Afflictions fourth show.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.betwwx.com/681/ufc-100-picks-and-predictions/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Belmont Stakes 2009 Date: Why Charitable Man Will Take It</title>
		<link>http://www.betwwx.com/667/belmont-stakes-2009-date-why-charitable-man-will-take-it/</link>
		<comments>http://www.betwwx.com/667/belmont-stakes-2009-date-why-charitable-man-will-take-it/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Jun 2009 00:51:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Andre Sanchez</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Free Picks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Handicapping]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Other Sports]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.betwwx.com/?p=667</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Its no surprise at all you that if you listen to some of the sharpest handicappers this weekend, the 2009 Belmont Stakes date will be a one-horse race. A growing legion of experts predict Charitable Man rout. I&#8217;m one of those think that Mine that bird wont be able to match the rising horse this [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Its no surprise at all you that if you listen to some of the sharpest handicappers this weekend, the 2009 Belmont Stakes date will be a one-horse race. A growing legion of experts predict Charitable Man rout. I&#8217;m one of those think that Mine that bird wont be able to match the rising horse this Saturday.<span id="more-667"></span></p>
<p>The media is no doubt jumping on the <a href="http://www.baltimoresun.com/sports/horseracing/bal-sp.belmont04jun04,0,2248134.story">bandwagon</a>.</p>
<blockquote><p>Charitable Man, who will be ridden by jockey Alan Garcia, looked like a pretty good prospect for the Kentucky Derby when he romped to an 11 1/2 -length victory in his first race and then won the Futurity at Belmont in mid-September 2008. But a shin injury that required surgery dashed those hopes, meaning he couldn&#8217;t compete in any of the Derby prep races.</p>
<p>&#8220;It was frustrating because he&#8217;s so talented,&#8221; McLaughlin said.</p>
<p>The horse still had enough graded stakes earnings to qualify for the Derby, but McLaughlin and owner William Warren decided to hold Charitable Man out of the race when he didn&#8217;t run well in the Blue Grass Stakes in April, finishing seventh. When Mine That Bird came out of nowhere to win the Derby, McLaughlin acknowledged he was kicking himself for not taking his shot with Charitable Man. He said he won&#8217;t make that mistake again.</p></blockquote>
<p>Certainly there many credible threats around for Charitable Man. However as the value propositions its hard to go past him.</p>
<p>Belmont Stakes 2009<br />
The field</p>
<p>Post, Horse	Jockey	Odds</p>
<p>1. Chocolate Candy	Gomez	10-1<br />
2. Dunkirk	Velazquez	4-1<br />
3. Mr. Hot Stuff	Prado	15-1<br />
4. Summer Bird	Desormeaux	12-1<br />
5. Luv Gov	Mena	20-1<br />
6. Charitable Man	Garcia	3-1<br />
7. Mine That Bird	Borel	2-1<br />
8. Flying Private	Leparoux	12-1<br />
9. Miner&#8217;s Escape	Lezcano	15-1<br />
10. Brave Victory	Maragh	15-1</p>
<p>Betting Lessons</p>
<p>So you want to bet on the 2009 Belmont Stakes? Here’s some free advice – don’t. Now that might seem a strange statement on a website such as this, but the single most important piece of advice any professional gambler can offer anyone in their expert field is “don’t swim with the sharks”.</p>
<p>Of course not many let those words pass their lips. The livelihood of any professional gambler is significantly dependent on less-skilled people playing in the same swimming pool. Be very clear that sports betting, like poker, is skill-based gambling with an element of luck, not the other way around.</p>
<p>So why do I offer these sage words of wisdom before the 2009 Belmont Stakes? Quite apart from the fact I’m a really nice person, I know that human nature will dictate that for every ten people who will read the opening paragraph and vow never to bet on a sporting event again, there will be at least a hundred who will quite happily ignore me. That’s fine, no-one likes been told what to do and if I am really honest your ignorance is my bliss. But if you are going to be one of those hundred, you might like to keep reading.</p>
<p>Sports betting is no different to any other walk of life where highly skilled people operate. They may work for a bookmaker, setting prices for their paymasters contributing to their profit. Or they may be on the other side, unwavering in their quest to make money off whomever they can cross swords with. The point is there are people who make a living from sports betting who spend a large portion of their waking hours staying ahead of the pack. If you’re not one of them, what are you doing standing up there on the diving board?</p>
<p>This brings me to perhaps the second most-important piece of advice I can give you – be very clear on the reasons why you bet and your expectations from doing so. I mean, if you’re a recreational tennis player and you play a set against Roger Federer – do you have any hope of winning? You might win a point here and there, but at the end of the day, will you win or lose?</p>
<p>So why do you bet? If purely for fun, to add a bit of extra enjoyment when you watch a sporting event from the stands or on TV, good for you. Despite what do-gooders say, there is nothing wrong with recreational gambling, so long as you do not spend more than you can afford to lose. If you are a seasoned pro, what the hell are you doing reading this – you’re learning nothing new.</p>
<p>It’s the people in the middle who need to stop and think for more than a moment – those that think they can make money from the game without perhaps realizing the work required to maximize their chances of doing so. So to the people surfing the internet trying to pick up tips on how to be successful at sports betting, sit down and really ask yourself are you prepared to put in the required graft to be successful? If so, welcome to the club. But if you have any doubts, do it for fun – and don’t get stuck in the middle.</p>
<p>Good luck betting one of the most exciting spectacles events this year. Join Bodog to take part in the racing excitement.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.betwwx.com/667/belmont-stakes-2009-date-why-charitable-man-will-take-it/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>2009 Belmont Stakes predictions and picks</title>
		<link>http://www.betwwx.com/662/2009-belmont-stakes-predictions-and-picks/</link>
		<comments>http://www.betwwx.com/662/2009-belmont-stakes-predictions-and-picks/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Jun 2009 22:18:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Robert K</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Handicapping]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Other Sports]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Professional Gambling]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.betwwx.com/?p=662</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The final leg of the triple crown is here once again. This years race may not be as huge as it was last year but that doesn&#8217;t mean you cant cash in on our winning 2009 Belmont Stakes predictions and picks.  Reads Robert&#8217;s best bets after the jump.
Now that Preakness winner Rachel Alexandra is out [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The final leg of the triple crown is here once again. This years race may not be as huge as it was last year but that doesn&#8217;t mean you cant cash in on our winning 2009 Belmont Stakes predictions and picks.  Reads Robert&#8217;s best bets after the jump.</p>
<p>Now that Preakness winner Rachel Alexandra is out of the Belmont Stakes and will likely return to facing the ladies in the Mother Goose Stakes at the end of June, the field is starting to take shape.</p>
<p>Nine three year olds will likely take on Kentucky Derby winner Mine That Bird in the final leg of the Triple Crown.<span id="more-662"></span></p>
<p>Jockey Calvin Borel returns to rider Mine That Bird, and the gelding likely will go off as the post time favorite on Saturday.</p>
<p>Does the gelding join the ranks of chalky winners of the race like Afleet Alex ($4.30), Empire Maker ($6.00), and Point Given ($4.70)?</p>
<p>Or will one of the other nine runners pull off the upset, and finish off the decade with another juicy winner like Da’Tara ($79.00), Birdstone ($74.00), and Sarava ($142.50)?</p>
<p>Here is a quick look at the probables for our Belmont stakes 2009 date:</p>
<p><strong>Brave Victory</strong>: The colt is one of two to go for hall of fame trainer Nick Zito, who pulled off two of the biggest upsets in Belmont Stakes history with Da’ Tara last year and Birdstone in 2004, ending the Triple Crown aspirations of Smarty Jones and Big Brown. The colt made a good late run to finish third in the Peter Pan Stakes in his last start.</p>
<p><strong>Charitable Man</strong>: This colt likely is going to be the “buzz” horse this week for the Racebook. The son of Lemon Drop Kid won the Peter Pan last out, earning a career top speed fig. He looks primed for a top effort here as he makes his third start of the year.</p>
<p><strong>Chocolate Candy</strong>: The colt sat out the Preakness Stakes after checking in fifth in the Kentucky Derby. The colt was squeezed back coming out of the gate in the Derby. The colt is a three-time stakes winner and picks up jockey Garrett Gomez.</p>
<p><strong>Dunkirk:</strong> The lightly raced colt was sent off at just 5/1 in the Kentucky Derby after an impressive second in the Florida Derby in his stakes debut. The $3.7 million purchase had a tough trip in the Derby and is eligible to move forward off that effort. He has quite the pedigree, by Unbridled’s Song out of the multiple stakes winner Secret Status.</p>
<p><strong>Flying Private</strong>: After a 19th place finish in the Kentucky Derby, this colt made a belated late run to finish fourth in the Preakness Stakes, beaten four lengths for the top spot. The colt has won just 1 of 12 career starts but earned a career best speed figure in his Preakness effort and has enough pedigree to handle the 1 ½ mile distance of the <a href="http://www.betus.com/sports-betting/triple-crown/belmont-stakes/">Belmont Stakes</a>.</p>
<p><strong>Luv Gov</strong>: The colt was not a factor after a wide trip in the Preakness Stakes, which was his first start against winners. It took ten tries just for this colt to break his maiden. How this guy went off at 24/1 in the Preakness is a real mystery. It looked like he should have been 90/1.</p>
<p><strong>Mine That Bird</strong>: His Kentucky Derby win was aided by a dream trip and a golden rail, but he proved it was not a fluke with a solid runner up finish in the Preakness Stakes. With Rachel Alexandra out, the gelding is reunited with Calvin Borel, which is a big plus as Borel seeks to become the first jockey to win all three Triple Crown races with more than one horse. The gelding is the likely favorite but one-run horses generally do not fare well in the Belmont Stakes.</p>
<p><strong>Miner’s Escape:</strong> This colts the second of the duo that will be sent out by Nick Zito. The colt won the Federico Tesio at Pimlico last out in his first start against winners. The colt looks like he is heading in the right direction and has a long-winded pedigree, but will need some of that Zito magic to win.</p>
<p><strong>Mr. Hot Stuff:</strong> This colt did not have the best of trips in the Kentucky Derby. Two back he was a good third in the Santa Anita Derby (G1), beaten just two lengths by the winner Pioneerof the Nile and a length behind the runner up Chocolate Candy. The colt only has one win in eight starts on his resume.</p>
<p><strong>Summer Bird:</strong> After a good effort in a third place finish in the Arkansas Derby (G2) this colt was parked wide much of the trip in a sixth place finish in the Kentucky Derby. The colt gets a jockey upgrade to Kent Desormeaux, and the colt is a son of 2004 Belmont Stakes winner Birdstone.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.betwwx.com/662/2009-belmont-stakes-predictions-and-picks/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>UFC 98 Odds and Betting Lines &#8211; Bet Machida vs. Evans</title>
		<link>http://www.betwwx.com/641/ufc-98-odds-and-betting-lines-bet-machida-vs-rashad/</link>
		<comments>http://www.betwwx.com/641/ufc-98-odds-and-betting-lines-bet-machida-vs-rashad/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 19 May 2009 17:31:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Robert K</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Free Picks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MMA Betting]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.betwwx.com/?p=641</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[UFC 98 is just around the corner now, its “Evans vs. Machida” this Saturday at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas. Long time fight handicapper Robert Kendra brings you the current UFC 98 odds and betting lines for this long awaited card.
Note: For those still searching for a sportsbook for the event, what [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>UFC 98 is just around the corner now, its “Evans vs. Machida” this Saturday at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas. Long time fight handicapper Robert Kendra brings you the current UFC 98 odds and betting lines for this long awaited card.</p>
<p>Note: For those still searching for<span id="more-641"></span> a sportsbook for the event, what better place than <strong><a href="http://affiliates.commissionaccount.com/processing/clickthrgh.asp?btag=a_8014b_492">Sportsbook.com</a></strong>? With some of the best MMA odds to choose from, you simply cant go wrong with these guys.</p>
<p>A year ago, who would have thought that “Sugar” Rashad Evans (18-0-1) would fight Lyoto “The Dragon” Machida (32-0-1) for the light heavyweight title. Both men have come a long way since their UFC debuts. They have been criticized for the styles and antics yet both remain unbeaten.  Its something only a handful of fighters have been able to accomplish on their way toward the championship belt.</p>
<p>Brazilian Karate champion Machida remains the heavy favorite going into the bout. At -190 he’ll be hard to beat. Evans though could be a value play at +200. The latest UFC 98 betting odds are listed below. All lines accurate at the time of posting.</p>
<p><strong>Odds for UFC 98</strong></p>
<p>Lyoto Machida -200<br />
Rashad Evans +170</p>
<p>Matt Hughes -270<br />
Matt Serra	+230</p>
<p>Frank Edgar	+260<br />
Sean Sherk -320</p>
<p>Dave Kaplan +125<br />
George Roop -145</p>
<p>Kyle Bradley +290<br />
Phillipe Nover -350</p>
<p>Brandon Wolff	+365<br />
Yoshiyuki Yoshida	-460</p>
<p>Pat Barry -300<br />
Tim Hague +220</p>
<p>Brock Larson +120<br />
Chris Wilson -167</p>
<p>Drew Mcfedries 	-227<br />
Xavier Foupa-Pokam +157</p>
<p>Andre Gusmao -118<br />
Krzysztof Soszynski -118</p>
<p>Dont be an armchair quarterback. Its time to put your money where your mouth is, head over to <a href="http://affiliates.commissionaccount.com/processing/clickthrgh.asp?btag=a_8014b_492">Sportsbook</a> and place your UFC 98 bets today!</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.betwwx.com/641/ufc-98-odds-and-betting-lines-bet-machida-vs-rashad/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Preakness Best Bets and Sportsbook Bonuses</title>
		<link>http://www.betwwx.com/636/preakness-best-bets-and-sportsbook-bonuses/</link>
		<comments>http://www.betwwx.com/636/preakness-best-bets-and-sportsbook-bonuses/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 15 May 2009 21:40:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Robert K</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Free Picks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Handicapping]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Other Sports]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.betwwx.com/?p=636</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[With the day drawing ever closer what better time to check out the expected payout odds on for the 134th running of the Preakness Stakes. All odds and lines provided by our preferred racebook partners Betus and Sportsbook. Make sure to check out both, remember the race is now less than a day away what [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>With the day drawing ever closer what better time to check out the expected payout odds on for the 134th running of the Preakness Stakes. All odds and lines provided by our preferred racebook partners <a href="http://www.betus.com/ats/13452/sportsbook">Betus</a> and <a href="http://affiliates.commissionaccount.com/processing/clickthrgh.asp?btag=a_8014b_628">Sportsbook</a>. Make sure to check out both, remember the race is now less than a day away what better time to sign up. Betus is offering some incredible bonuses while sportsbook is running a unique Preakness contest. All sportsbook customers are granted points for every winning selection they make. The top five point winners cash in on the huge prize money at the end of the Triple Crown series. Below are the latest 2009 Preakness lines direct from our recommend sportsbooks and racebooks.<span id="more-636"></span></p>
<p>Rachel Alexandra, available at a prohibitive +150 ,is the clear front-runner. A $2 bet on leading horse will payout a measly $3 in winnings come race day. Second favorites Mine that Bird and Pioneerof The Nile are someway off at +450. A $2 bet will return a respectable $9. Friesan Fire currently looks like a value play at +650 with a $13 profit on a $2 outlay. Other long shots you may want to keep an eye on include Papa Clem’s at +800 and Big Drama listed at +1000 (a return of $10 for a $1 outlay).</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.betwwx.com/636/preakness-best-bets-and-sportsbook-bonuses/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Preakness Stakes 2009 odds and betting preview</title>
		<link>http://www.betwwx.com/633/preakness-stakes-2009-odds-and-betting-preview/</link>
		<comments>http://www.betwwx.com/633/preakness-stakes-2009-odds-and-betting-preview/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 15 May 2009 20:32:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jarrod Horak</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Free Picks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Handicapping]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Professional Gambling]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.betwwx.com/?p=633</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Baltimore is my home town, and I have always had a soft spot for the Preakness Stakes. Much of my handicapping success in the second jewel of the Triple Crown has come from backing my Derby selection in Baltimore, and I am hoping this year is no different.
What makes this year unique is the shocking [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Baltimore is my home town, and I have always had a soft spot for the Preakness Stakes. Much of my handicapping success in the second jewel of the Triple Crown has come from backing my Derby selection in Baltimore, and I am hoping this year is no different.<span id="more-633"></span></p>
<p>What makes this year unique is the shocking win registered by Mine That Bird on the first Saturday in May. The Derby winner is almost an automatic contender in Baltimore, but The Bird never showed that kind of ability before, and I am going to consider it a fluke performance until proven otherwise. With the Derby winner safely tossed, the Preakness seemingly comes down to three main contenders.</p>
<p>Visit our partners <strong><a href="http://www.betus.com/ats/13452/mid/1571/racebook">Betus</a></strong> or <strong><a href="http://affiliates.commissionaccount.com/processing/clickthrgh.asp?btag=a_8014b_609">Sportsbook</a></strong> to bet on the 2nd leg of the tipple crown. You cant go wrong with either of these two options this weekend. Visit the above links for the most up to date 2009 Preakness odds.</p>
<p>Pioneerof The Nile brought a four race win streak to Churchill Downs, and he was hardly disgraced in a rock solid place finish. He was trying conventional dirt for the first time in the Derby, and he should go better in Baltimore with that experience under his belt. He continues to train well and adapts to various pace scenarios. I would like to see him relax early and finish, because that seems to be his most effective style.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.betus.com/ats/13452/mid/1571/racebook"><img src="http://www.sportsimagestore.com/showbanner.asp?affid=13452&amp;banid=1571" border="0" alt="racebook" /></a></p>
<p>Rachel Alexandra has not been challenged by fillies in her last five facile route tallies. She wheels back quickly to tackle the gents from the outside post. She does have the speed and ability to get the job done, but she will not offer much value in the Preakness, and she does not figure to receive a warm reception from the boys.</p>
<p>Musket Man has five wins and two show finishes from seven lifetime starts, and he was a fine third in the Kentucky Derby. He lands an advantageous inner post and can sit the right ground saving stalking trip at nice odds. He drilled a strong four furlong bullet at Monmouth for this, and it would be a wise decision to include him in all wagering decisions.</p>
<p><strong>Preakness Stakes 2009 betting odds</strong></p>
<p>Rachel Alexandra   +150<br />
Mine That Bird   +450<br />
Pioneerof The Nile  +450<br />
Friesan Fire  +650<br />
Papa Clem +800<br />
Big Drama +1000<br />
Musket Men  +1000<br />
General Quarters  +1500<br />
Take The Points  +2500<br />
Tone it Down  +3000<br />
Terrain  +3000<br />
Flying Private   +4000<br />
Lov Gov   +4000</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.betwwx.com/633/preakness-stakes-2009-odds-and-betting-preview/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>2009 Preakness Stakes Predictions and Picks</title>
		<link>http://www.betwwx.com/630/2009-preakness-stakes-predictions-and-picks/</link>
		<comments>http://www.betwwx.com/630/2009-preakness-stakes-predictions-and-picks/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 14 May 2009 16:15:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jarrod Horak</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Free Picks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Handicapping]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Professional Gambling]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.betwwx.com/?p=630</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I have had success playing back my Kentucky Derby selections in the Preakness (Tank&#8217;s Prospect, Snow Chief, Risen Star, Hansel, Pine Bluff, Timber Country, Point Given), and I am going to the well once again with Pioneerof The Nile with my 2009 Preakness Stakes predictions.
Pioneerof The Nile had won four straight prior to the Derby, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I have had success playing back my Kentucky Derby selections in the Preakness (Tank&#8217;s Prospect, Snow Chief, Risen Star, Hansel, Pine Bluff, Timber Country, Point Given), and I am going to the well once again with Pioneerof The Nile with my 2009 Preakness Stakes predictions.<span id="more-630"></span></p>
<p>Pioneerof The Nile had won four straight prior to the Derby, and he looked home free at Churchill, but Mine That Bird flew on by in the lane. He still fought hard for the place, and his final drill for the Preakness was strong. He has seemingly acclimated to conventional dirt, and I am anticipating an exciting battle with the filly.</p>
<p>A very quick reminder to those without a reliable racebook for the big race. Visit our good friends at <strong><a href="http://www.betus.com/ats/13452/mid/1571/racebook">Betus</a></strong> or <strong><a href="http://affiliates.commissionaccount.com/processing/clickthrgh.asp?btag=a_8014b_609">Sportsbook</a></strong> to bet on the 2009 Preakness.  These are the absolute best options for this years race. Make sure to check out the above links for the current Preakness payout odds.</p>
<p>Rachel Alexandra has been untouchable in her last five stakes routes and was especially impressive in the Kentucky Oaks. She comes back in two weeks for new connections and meets a solid group of males. I respect her early/pressing speed but fear she will be overbet.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.betus.com/ats/13452/mid/1571/racebook"><img src="http://www.sportsimagestore.com/showbanner.asp?affid=13452&amp;banid=1571" border="0" alt="racebook" /></a></p>
<p>Friesan Fire had everything go wrong as the beaten up Derby favorite. He bounced back with a strong Pimlico drill and figures to go much better this time around. I will include the Larry Jones runner in exotics.</p>
<p>Musket Man always runs his race and posted a strong Monmouth Park work for this. Overchiever is a must use in exotics.</p>
<p>Papa Clem ran better than I expected in the Derby, but I have never been a big fan of the Arkansas Derby winner, and he will not be on my tickets in the second jewel.</p>
<p>General Quarters has been inconsistent recently, and note that he has lost six of his last seven dirt starts. I will let him beat me.</p>
<p>Big Drama will be part of the pace, but I am not sure if he is up to this distance with one sprint prep in the last five months.</p>
<p>Take the Points is back on preferred dirt and has been pointing to this since the Santa Anita Derby. I like his positional speed but think he is most effective at shorter distances.</p>
<p>Terrain has lost all of his route attempts, but I would not be shocked if the late runner snuck into the trifecta.</p>
<p>Mine That Bird ran out of his mind in the Derby, but his prior speed ratings suggest that effort was a fluke. Let&#8217;s see him do it again!</p>
<p>Flying Private flopped from a tough post position on the first Saturday in May. He is better than that but not good enough to threaten these.</p>
<p>Local hope Tone It Down appears over matched, along with Wayne Lukas trainee Luv Gov.</p>
<p>Here are my best bets for the 2009 Preakness. A win bet on Pioneerof The Nile, followed by a trifecta keying Pioneerof The Nile over Musket Man, Friesan Fire, Terrain, and Rachel Alexandra.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.betwwx.com/630/2009-preakness-stakes-predictions-and-picks/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>2009 Kentucky Derby Odds Plus Free Betting Promotion</title>
		<link>http://www.betwwx.com/601/2009-kentucky-derby-odds-plus-free-betting-promotion/</link>
		<comments>http://www.betwwx.com/601/2009-kentucky-derby-odds-plus-free-betting-promotion/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 May 2009 12:34:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Robert K</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Free Picks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Handicapping]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.betwwx.com/?p=601</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Last year it was the story of Big Brown and the year before it was Street Sense and continuing through with Barbaro in 2006 and Smarty Jones in 2004. More often than not in recent years the winner was decided before the race was run. It seemed as if the odds makers had it down [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Last year it was the story of Big Brown and the year before it was Street Sense and continuing through with Barbaro in 2006 and Smarty Jones in 2004. More often than not in recent years the winner was decided before the race was run. It seemed as if the odds makers had it down to a science. This year however its a completely different story. The field is wide open. The winner will have to overcome some pretty big odds whoever takes it out on Saturday. Which means there is more value for bettors than ever before, if you can pick the winner that is.</p>
<p>Three contenders are leading the betting. At +250 odds, I Want Revenge is the race favorite according at <a href="http://affiliates.commissionaccount.com/processing/clickthrgh.asp?btag=a_8014b_628">Sportsbook.com</a> with Dunkirk next best at +400 and Friesan Fire close behind at +500. My betting advice for this years Derby is to look for value.<span id="more-601"></span> Forget the leading contenders, this year a long shot is going to take it out. The run of short favorites dominating this race is over. Cash in by ignoring the pundits and going against the trend.</p>
<p>2009 Kentucky Derby Odds</p>
<p>Head over to <a href="http://affiliates.commissionaccount.com/processing/clickthrgh.asp?btag=a_8014b_628">Sportsbook</a> the latest odds.</p>
<p>Advice +2000<br />
Atomic Rain  +5000<br />
Chocolate Candy +2000<br />
Desert Party  +1500<br />
Dunkirk +400<br />
Flying Private  +4000<br />
Friesan Fire  +500<br />
General Quarters   +2000<br />
Hold Me Back  +1500<br />
I Want Revenge  +250 (Scratched)<br />
Join In The Dance   +5000<br />
Mine That Bird   +5000<br />
Mr Hot Stuff   +3000<br />
Musket Man   +2000<br />
Nowhere To Hide +5000<br />
Papa Clem  +2000<br />
Pionnerof the Nile +400<br />
Regal Ransom +3000<br />
Summer Bird +5000<br />
West Side Bernie +3000</p>
<p>Kentucky Derby Bet Promotion</p>
<p>Its that time of year when the public&#8217;s attention once again turns toward &#8220;The Sport of Kings&#8221;. Bet on &#8220;The Most Exciting Two Minutes in Sports&#8221; at <a href="http://www.bodoglife.com/welcome/2349764/horse-betting/">Bodoglife.com</a> race-book. Sign up right now and receive a special deposit bonus when you $50 deposit.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.bodoglife.com/welcome/2349764/horse-betting/"><img src="http://www.bodogaffiliatelife.com/resources/banners/racebook/horizontal/468x60/468x60c-racebook.gif" border="0" alt="Online Horse Betting" width="468" height="60" /></a></p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.betwwx.com/601/2009-kentucky-derby-odds-plus-free-betting-promotion/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
	</channel>
</rss>
